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News Wire / conflict

Blogger Claims Russia Cannot Sustain War Beyond Two Years

Radio Svoboda UA Kyiv 15d15d Impact 5

Blogger Bari Zvinchuk stated in a discussion with Anatoliy Kuzychov that Russia cannot sustain a war of attrition under current conditions for more than 1.5 to 2 years. A blogger, Gorkaya, suggests that Russia's ability to conduct a war of attrition is limited to a maximum of one and a half to two years under current conditions. The assessment notes that even if certain factors are excluded, the sustainability of such a conflict is in question. The discussion mentions the potential for repeating high-casualty scenarios involving tens of millions. A commentator suggests Vladimir Putin may resort to mobilization or transitioning the economy to military footing to maintain power. The analysis claims Russia is approaching a critical threshold similar to the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Blogger Bari Zvinchuk stated in a discussion with Anatoliy Kuzychov that Russia cannot sustain a war of attrition under current conditions for more than 1.5 to 2 years. A blogger, Gorkaya, suggests that Russia's ability to conduct a war of attrition is limited to a maximum of one and a half to two years under current conditions. The assessment notes that even if certain factors are excluded, the sustainability of such a conflict is in question. The discussion mentions the potential for repeating high-casualty scenarios involving tens of millions. A commentator suggests Vladimir Putin may resort to mobilization or transitioning the economy to military footing to maintain power. The analysis claims Russia is approaching a critical threshold similar to the collapse of the Soviet Union. The speaker notes Putin's minimum objective is the capture of Donetsk and Luhansk regions to achieve specific territorial goals. A blogger named Rybar suggests that Russia's current mobilization strategy involves training soldiers for approximately 12 to 18 months before deployment. This training period is cited as a factor in the current state of the Russian army's capabilities. Massively mobilized infantry units are currently unprepared for combat and can only serve in march units. Forming new combat units requires time for training, equipment, and ammunition procurement. This process is expected to take longer than one to two years and faces resource shortages in gear and munitions.

Topics

war of attrition mobilization Russia-Ukraine war

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Sources · 7 independent

Radio Svoboda UA

“Zvinchuk, in conversation with TV presenter Anatoliy Kuzychov, said that even if we set aside the aesthetic component, he believes that Russia cannot conduct a war of attrition in current conditions for a maximum of 1.5-2 years more.”

Hromadske Radio

“за словами Пана Владислава Волошина, їм довелося декілька підрозділів росіянам кудись відтягати втил на відновлення на полігони? ... наступу у сторону Новомиколаївки, або на історину Покровського”

Radio Svoboda

“истощение России в текущих условиях сможет вести еще максимум полтора-два года резюмировали”

Radio Svoboda

“истощение России в текущих условиях сможет вести еще максимум полтора-два года резюмировали Горькая на самом деле пилюля”

Radio Svoboda UA

“A blogger summarized that they cannot sustain such a war of attrition in current conditions for a maximum of 1.5-2 years more, without mobilization.”

Radio Svoboda UA

“вважає, що не можемо повторити Подобну війну на истощення Росії в текущих условіях зможуть вести ще максимум 1,5-2 роки”

Radio Svoboda

“Putin will need to apply more drastic measures. This is one of them — mobilization, this is to put more people in the ranks... Russia is approaching that same line [of the Soviet Union's collapse].”

Radio Svoboda UA

“Як вважаєте, якщо у Росії ресурси, щоб людей мобілізованих не бросати сразу в бой, а тренувати, допустим, год-полтора, як, наприклад, об этом говорить блогер Рибарь?”

Radio Svoboda

“если ты хочешь спормировать новые части, ты в самом деле должен иметь для них и кипировку, и технику, и хоть как-то их потренировать, иначе заниматься сложиванием. Это длительный проблематичный процесс, хотя, конечно же, не год два.”

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